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Adaptation: Planning for Climate Change and Its Effects on Federal Lands
National forest managers are charged with tackling the effects of climate change on the natural resources under their care. The Forest Service National Roadmap for Responding to Climate Change and the Climate Change Performance Scorecard require managers to make significant progress in addressing climate change by 2015. To help land managers meet this challenge, Forest Service scientists conducted three case studies on national forests and adjacent national parks and documented a wide range of scientific issues and solutions. They summarized the scientific foundation for climate change adaptation and made the information accessible to land managers by creating a climate change adaptation guidebookand web portal. Case study teams discovered that collaboration among scientists and land managers is crucial to adaptation planning, as are management plans targeted to the particular ecosystem conditions and management priorities of each region. Many current management practices are consistent with climate change adaptation goals. Because timely implementation is critical, strategies are in development at the national level to speed the implementation of science-based climate change adaptation processes in national forests throughout the country.
Logging Debris Matters: Better Soil, Fewer Invasive Plants
The logging debris that remains after timber harvest traditionally has been seen as a nuisance. It can make subsequent tree planting more difficult and become fuel for wildfire. It is commonly piled, burned, or taken off site. Logging debris, however, contains significant amounts of carbon and nitrogen—elements critical to soil productivity. Its physical presence in the regenerating forest creates microclimates that influence a broad range of soil and plant processes. Researchers Tim Harrington of the Pacific Northwest Research Station; Robert Slesak, a soil scientist with the Minnesota Forest Resources Council; and Stephen Schoenholtz, a professor of forest hydrology and soils at Virginia Tech, conducted a five-year study at two sites in Washington and Oregon to see how retaining logging debris affected the soil and other growing conditions at each locale. They found that keeping logging debris in place improved soil fertility, especially in areas with coarse-textured, nutrient-poor soils. Soil nitrogen and other nutrients important to tree growth increased, and soil water availability increased due to the debris’ mulching effect. The debris cooled the soil, which slowed the breakdown and release of soil carbon into the atmosphere. It also helped prevent invasive species such as Scotch broom and trailing blackberry from dominating the sites. Forest managers are using this information to help maximize the land’s productivity while reducing their costs associated with debris disposal.
Ecosystem Service Markets 101: Supply and Demand for Nature
Establishing markets for ecosystem services—the benefits that nature provides, such as clean air, water, and wildlife habitat—has gained traction in some circles as a way to finance the conservation of these public goods. Market influences on supply and demand work in tandem to encourageecosystem protection. Jeff Kline and Trista Patterson, scientists with the Pacific Northwest (PNW) Research Station, have identified several criteria needed for ecosystem service markets to achieve their potential. These include regulatory limits on environmental damage, ecosystem services that are amenable to trading, and manageable transaction costs related to administering market programs and the necessary measuring and monitoring of marketed resources. If these criteria are not met, other conservation methods such as conservation easements, landowner incentive programs for environmental enhancement or protection, or taxes on environmental damage may be more effective. Discussions about ecosystem services often focus on increasing supply— storing more carbon or delivering more water, for example. However, net pressures on ecosystems can also be reduced by addressing consumption. Many energy efficiencies can be achieved by promoting awareness, informed choices, and behavior change. The PNW Research Station is examining both supply and demand approaches to ecosystem protection by encouraging the development of ecosystem services markets and identifying ways to reduce its own environmental footprint.
Seasonal Neighbors: Residential Development Encroaches on Mule Deer Winter Range in Central Oregon
Mule deer populations in central Oregon are in decline, largely because of habitat loss. Several factors are likely contributors. Encroaching juniper and invasive cheatgrass are replacing deer forage with high nutritional value, such as bitterbrush and sagebrush. Fire suppression and reduced timber harvests mean fewer acres of early successional forest, which also offer forage opportunities. Human development, including homes and roads, is another factor. It is this one that scientists with the Pacific Northwest Research Station and their collaborators investigated in a recent study. As part of an interagency assessment of the ecological effects of resort development near Bend, Oregon, researchers examined recent and potential development rates and patterns and evaluated their impact on mule deer winter range. They found that residential development in central Oregon is upsetting traditional migratory patterns, reducing available habitat, and possibly increasing stress for mule deer. Many herds of mule deer spend the summer in the Cascade Range and move to lower elevations during the winter. An increasing number of buildings, vehicle traffic, fencing, and other obstacles that accompany human land use are making it difficult for mule deer to access and use their winter habitat. The study provides valuable information for civic leaders, land use planners, and land managers to use in weighing the ecological impact of various land use decisions in central Oregon.
Thinking Big: Linking Rivers to Landscapes
Exploring relationships between landscape characteristics and rivers is an emerging field of study, bolstered by the proliferation of satellite data, advances in statistical analysis, and increased emphasis on largescale monitoring. Climate patterns and landscape features such as road networks, underlying geology, and human developments determine the characteristics of the rivers flowing through them. A multiagency team of scientists developed novel modeling methods to link these landscape features to instream habitat and to abundance of coho salmon in Oregon coastal streams. This is the first comprehensive analysis of landscape-scale data collected as part of the state’s Oregon Plan for Salmon and Watersheds. The research team found that watershed characteristics and human activities far from the river’s edge influence the distribution and habitats of coho salmon. Although large-scale landscape characteristics can predict stream reaches that might support greater numbers of coho salmon, smaller scale features and random chance also play a role in whether coho spawn in a particular stream and in a particular year. The team developed new models that successfully predicted the distribution of instream habitat features. Volume of instream wood and pool frequency were the features most influenced by human activities. Studying these relationships can help guide large-scale monitoring and management of aquatic resources.
Mount St. Helens: Still Erupting Lessons 31 Years Later
The massive volcanic eruption of Mount St. Helens 31 years ago provided the perfect backdrop for studying the earliest stages of forest development. Immediately after the eruption, some areas of the blast area were devoid of life. On other parts of the volcanic landscape, many species survived, although their numbers were greatly reduced. Reassembly began at many different starting points along the spectrum of disturbance. Within the national volcanic monument, natural regeneration generally has been allowed to proceed at its own pace. Charlie Crisafulli and Fred Swanson, scientists with the Pacific Northwest Research Station, along with numerous collaborators, have found that the sunlit environment, dominated by shrubs, herbs, and grasses that characterize early-seral ecosystems, supports complex food webs involving numerous herbivores. These biologically rich areas provide habitat for plant and animal species that are either found only in these early-seral ecosystems or reach their highest densities there. Although much of the focus of forest ecosystem management over the past 20 years in the Pacific Northwest has been on protecting old forests and hastening development of conditions associated with older forests, the research on Mount St. Helens points to the ecological value of allowing a portion of a managed landscape to develop characteristics of a complex early-seral ecosystem
Linked in: Connectiong Riparian areas to support Forest Biodiversity
Many forest-dwelling species rely on both terrestrial and aquatic habitat for their survival. These species, including rare and little-understood amphibians and arthropods, live in and around headwater streams and disperse overland to neighboring headwater streams. Forest management policies that rely on riparian buffer strips and structurebased management—practices meant to preserve habitat—address only some of these habitat needs. They generally do not consider the overland connectivity necessary for these species to successfully move across a landscape to maintain genetically diverse populations. Management in headwater areas also can affect downstream salmon habitat. Landslides and debris flows initiated in these areas can severely degrade habitat by dumping too much sediment and not enough large wood into the stream. Carefully managing sensitive headwater areas can aid not only amphibians and arthropods, but also threatened salmon populations and other forest organisms. Pacific Northwest Research Station scientists are exploring scenarios for protecting headwaters by extending riparian buffers and connecting them over ridgelines to neighboring drainages. A range of management practices designed to achieve multiple objectives may be appropriate in these protected areas to facilitate cost-effective, ecologically integrated management plans. Headwater links could piggyback on lands that are already protected and could consider such factors as sensitivity to debris flows and landslides, land ownerships and objectives, and climate change.
From Ocean to Stratosphere
Rising tropical sea surface temperatures alter atmospheric dynamics at heights of 16 kilometers or more. SCIENCE VOL 322 3 OCTOBER 2008
Seeds of Change for Restoration Ecology
FORESTS PROVIDE A WIDE VARIETY OF ECOSYSTEM SERVICES, INCLUDING PROVISIONS SUCH AS food and fuel and services that affect climate and water quality (1). In light of the increasing global population pressure, we must not only conserve, but also restore forests to meet the increasing demands for ecosystem services and goods that they provide (2). Ecological restoration has recently adopted insights from the biodiversity-ecosystem function (BEF) perspective (3). This emphasis on functional rather than taxonomic diversity (3, 4), combined with increasing acceptance of perennial, global-scale effects on the environment (5, 6) and the associated species gains and losses (“Terrestrial ecosystem responses to species gains and losses,” D. A. Wardle et al., Review, 10 June, p. 1273), may be the beginning of a paradigm shift in forest conservation and restoration ecology. As a result, we may see increased tolerance toward and the use of nonnative tree species in forests worldwide 8 JULY 2011 VOL 333 SCIENCE
Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming
The distributions of many terrestrial organisms are currently shifting in latitude or elevation in responseto changing climate. Using a meta-analysis, we estimated that the distributions of species haverecently shifted to higher elevations at a median rate of 11.0 meters per decade, and to higher latitudes at a median rate of 16.9 kilometers per decade. These rates are approximately two and three times faster than previously reported. The distances moved by species are greatest in studies showing thehighest levels of warming, with average latitudinal shifts being generally sufficient to track temperature changes. However, individual species vary greatly in their rates of change, suggesting that the range shift of each species depends on multiple internal species traits and external drivers of change. Rapid average shifts derive from a wide diversity of responses by individual species.
Rescuing Wolves from Politics: Wildlife as a Public Trust Resource
Long-term conservation of gray wolves is possible if states recognize a legal obligation to conserve species as a public trust resource
Human Evolution Out of Africa: The Role of Refugia and Climate Change
Although an African origin of the modern human species is generally accepted, the evolutionary processes involved in the speciation, geographical spread, and eventual extinction of archaic humans outside of Africa are much debated. An additional complexity has been the recent evidence of limited interbreeding between modern humans and the Neandertals and Denisovans. Modern human migrations and interactions began during the buildup to the Last Glacial Maximum, starting about 100,000 years ago. By examining the history of other organisms through glacial cycles, valuable models for evolutionary biogeography can be formulated. According to one such model, the adoption of a new refugium by a subgroup of a species may lead to important evolutionary changes.
All Downhill From Here?
Biologists say climate change may already be affecting high-mountain ecosystems around the world, where plants and animals adapted to cold, barren conditions now face higher temperatures and a surge of predators and competitors
The Greening of Synfuels
An old, dirty technology to make transportation fuels from coal could fight global warming, say proponents. The trick is using more biomass and burying the carbon dioxide that’s generated 18 APRIL 2008 VOL 320 SCIENCE
Changes in Climatic Water Balance Drive Downhill Shifts in Plant Species’ Optimum Elevations
Uphill shifts of species’ distributions in response to historical warming are well documented, which leads to widespread expectations of continued uphill shifts under future warming. Conversely, downhill shifts are often considered anomalous and unrelated to climate change. By comparing the altitudinal distributions of 64 plant species between the 1930s and the present day within California, we show that climate changes have resulted in a significant downward shift in species’ optimum elevations. This downhill shift is counter to what would be expected given 20th-century warming but is readily explained by species’ niche tracking of regional changes in climatic water balance rather than temperature. Similar downhill shifts can be expected to occur where future climate change scenarios project increases in water availability that outpace evaporative demand.
How Does Climate Change Affect Biodiversity?
The most recent and complex bioclimate models excel at describing species’ current distributions. Yet, it is unclear which models will best predict how climate change will affect their future distributions. 8 SEPTEMBER 2006 VOL 313 SCIENCE
Defaunation in the Anthropocene
We live amid a global wave of anthropogenically driven biodiversity loss: species and population extirpations and, critically, declines in local species abundance. Particularly, human impacts on animal biodiversity are an under-recognized form of global environmental change. Among terrestrial vertebrates, 322 species have become extinct since 1500, and populations of the remaining species show 25% average decline in abundance. Invertebrate patterns are equally dire: 67% of monitored populations show 45% mean abundance decline. Such animal declines will cascade onto ecosystem functioning and human well-being. Much remains unknown about this “Anthropocene defaunation”; these knowledge gaps hinder our capacity to predict and limit defaunation impacts. Clearly, however, defaunation is both a pervasive component of the planet’s sixth mass extinction and also a major driver of global ecological change 25 JULY 2014 • VOL 345 ISSUE 6195
Not All About Consumption
Resource exploitation can lead to increased ecological impacts even when overall consumption levels stay the same 15 March 2013 VOL 339 SCIENCE
Freshwater Methane Emissions Offset the Continental Carbon Sink
Acornerstone of our understanding of the contemporary global carbon cycle is that the terrestrial land surface is an important greenhouse gas (GHG) sink (1, 2). The global land sink is estimated to be 2.6 T 1.7 Pg of C year−1 (variability T range, excluding C emissions because of deforestation) (1). Lakes, impoundments, and rivers are parts of the terrestrial landscape, but they have not yet been included in the terrestrial GHG balance (3, 4). Available data suggest, however, that freshwaters can be substantial sources of CO2 (3, 5) and CH4 (6). Over time, soil carbon reaches freshwaters by lateral hydrological transport, where it can meet several fates, including burial in sediments, further transport to the sea, or evasion to the atmosphere as CO2 or CH4 (7). CH4 emissions may be small in terms of carbon, but CH4 is a more potent GHG than CO2 over century time scales. This study indicates that global CH4 emissions expressed as CO2 equivalents correspond to at least 25% of the estimated terrestrial GHG sink.
Changes in Wind Pattern Alter Albatross Distribution and Life-History Traits
Westerly winds in the Southern Ocean have increased in intensity and moved poleward. Using long-term demographic and foraging records, we show that foraging range in wandering albatrosses has shifted poleward in conjunction with these changes in wind pattern, while their rates of travel and flight speeds have increased. Consequently, the duration of foraging trips has decreased, breeding success has improved, and birds have increased in mass by more than 1 kilogram. These positive consequences of climate change may be temporary if patterns of wind in the southern westerlies follow predicted climate change scenarios. This study stresses the importance of foraging performance as the key link between environmental changes and population processes.