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Agenda - March 11, 2015 Workshop
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Urban Woodlands Conservation and Management Workshop. Organized and facilitated by the National Park Service to identify and create opportunities for greater collaboration among urban woodland researchers and managers working to restore and manage urban woodland ecosystems.
To view the goals and objectives of the workshop, please open the workshop agenda.
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Cultural Resources
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Urban Conservation
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Urban Woodlands Conservation and Restoration
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Aitken et al 2008 climate change and trees.pdf
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LP Members
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Project Documents
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Literature
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All Downhill From Here?
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Biologists say climate change may already be affecting high-mountain ecosystems around the world, where plants and animals adapted to cold, barren conditions now face higher temperatures and a surge of predators and competitors
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Climate Science Documents
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Alleles underlying larval foraging behaviour influence adult dispersal in nature
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The dispersal and migration of organisms have resulted in the colonisation of nearly every possible habitat and ultimately the extraordinary diversity of life. Animal dispersal tendencies are commonly heterogeneous (e.g. long vs. short) and non-random suggesting that phenotypic and genotypic variability between individuals can contribute to population-level heterogeneity in dis- persal. Using laboratory and field experiments, we demonstrate that natural allelic variation in a gene underlying a foraging polymorphism in larval fruit flies (for), also influences their dispersal tendencies as adults. Rover flies (forR; higher foraging activity) have consistently greater dispersal tendencies and are more likely to disperse longer distances than sitter flies (fors; lower foraging activity). Increasing for expression in the brain and nervous system increases dispersal in sitter flies. Our study supports the notion that variation in dispersal can be driven by intrinsic variation in food-dependent search behaviours and confirms that single gene pleiotropic effects can contrib- ute to population-level heterogeneity in dispersal.
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Climate Science Documents
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Allometry of thermal variables in mammals: consequences of body size and phylogeny
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A large number of analyses have examined how basal metabolic rate (BMR) is affected by body mass in mammals. By contrast, the critical ambient temperatures that define the thermo-neutral zone (TNZ), in which BMR is measured, have received much less attention. We provide the first phylogenetic analyses on scaling of lower and upper critical temperatures and the breadth of the TNZ in 204 mammal species from diverse orders. The phylogenetic signal of thermal variables was strong for all variables analysed. Most allometric relationships between thermal variables and body mass were significant and regressions using phylogenetic analyses fitted the data better than conventional regressions. Allometric exponents for all mammals were 0.19 for the lower critical temperature (expressed as body temperature - lower critical temperature), −0.027 for the upper critical temperature, and 0.17 for the breadth of TNZ. The small exponents for the breadth of the TNZ compared to the large exponents for BMR suggest that BMR per se affects the influence of body mass on TNZ only marginally. However, the breadth of the TNZ is also related to the apparent thermal conductance and it is therefore possible that BMR at different body masses is a function of both the heat exchange in the TNZ and that encountered below and above the TNZ to permit effective homeothermic thermoregulation.
Keywords: allometry,lower critical temperature,mammals,marsupials,thermal neutral zone,upper critical temperature.
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Climate Science Documents
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Allowable carbon emissions lowered by multiple climate targets
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Climate targets are designed to inform policies that would limit the
magnitude and impacts of climate change caused by anthropogenic
emissions of greenhouse gases and other substances. The target
that is currently recognized by most world governments1 places a
limit of two degrees Celsius on the global mean warming since
preindustrial times. This would require large sustained reductions
in carbon dioxide emissions during the twenty-first century and
beyond2–4. Such a global temperature target, however, is not sufficient
to control many other quantities, such as transient sea level
rise5
, ocean acidification6,7 and net primary production on land8,9.
Here, using an Earth system model of intermediate complexity
(EMIC) in an observation-informed Bayesian approach, we show
that allowable carbon emissions are substantially reduced whenmultiple
climate targets are set. We take into account uncertainties in
physical and carbon cycle model parameters, radiative efficiencies10,
climate sensitivity11 and carbon cycle feedbacks12,13 along with a
large set of observational constraints. Within this framework, we
explore a broad range of economically feasible greenhouse gas scenarios
from the integrated assessment community14–17 to determine
the likelihood of meeting a combination of specific global
and regional targets under various assumptions. For any given
likelihood of meeting a set of such targets, the allowable cumulative
emissions are greatly reduced from those inferred from the temperature
target alone. Therefore, temperature targets alone are unable
to comprehensively limit the risks from anthropogenic emissions.
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Climate Science Documents
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Alternatives for Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Report to the Appalachian LCC
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How should the Appalachian LCC acquire information about the vulnerability of Appalachian species and habitats to climate change to share with its partners? This report summarizes the findings and recommendations of a seven-member Expert Panel that sought to answer this question identified as a major research priority. The Panel addressed three aspects of the question: the selection of species and habitats to assess, approaches to vulnerability assessment, and the availability of downscaled climate data.
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Research
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Species and Habitat Vulnerability Assessments of Appalachian Species and Habitats
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Amazon Basin climate under global warming: the role of the sea surface temperature
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The Hadley Centre coupled climate–carbon cycle model (HadCM3LC) predicts loss of the Amazon
rainforest in response to future anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. In this study, the
atmospheric component of HadCM3LC is used to assess the role of simulated changes in midtwenty-first
century sea surface temperature (SST) in Amazon Basin climate change. When the full HadCM3LC SST anomalies (SSTAs) are used, the atmosphere model reproduces the Amazon Basin climate change exhibited by HadCM3LC, including much of the reduction in Amazon Basin rainfall. This rainfall change is shown to be the combined effect of SSTAs in both thetropical Atlantic and the Pacific, with roughly equal contributions from each basin. The greatest rainfall reduction occurs from May to October, outside of the mature South American monsoon (SAM) season. This dry season response is the combined effect of a more rapid warming of the tropical North Atlantic relative to the south, and warm SSTAs in the tropical east Pacific. Conversely,
a weak enhancement of mature SAM season rainfall in response to Atlantic SST change is suppressed
by the atmospheric response to Pacific SST. This net wet season response is sufficient to prevent dry
season soil moisture deficits from being recharged through the SAM season, leading to a perennial
soil moisture reduction and an associated 30% reduction in annual Amazon Basin net primary
productivity (NPP). A further 23% NPP reduction occurs in response to a 3.58C warmer air
temperature associated with a global mean SST warming.
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Climate Science Documents
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American Black Duck Decision Support Tool
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The Atlantic Coast Joint Venture Black Duck Decision Support Tool (DST) helps to identify the exact number of acres to protect, restore or maintain at the small watershed scale. Through this tool, land managers can determine the best way to contribute to achieving black duck goals anywhere on the landscape.
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Research
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Peer-reviewed Science
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Amid Worrisome Signs of Warming, ‘Climate Fatigue’ Sets In
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As scientists debate whether climate is changing faster than anticipated, some worry that a
drumbeat of dire warnings may be helping to erode U.S. public concerns about global warming
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