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Ecological responses to recent climate change
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There is now ample evidence of the ecological impacts of recent climate change, from polar terrestrial to tropical marine environments. The responses of both flora and fauna span an array of ecosystems and organizational hierarchies, from the species to the community levels. Despite continued uncertainty as to community and ecosystem trajectories under global change, our review exposes a coherent pattern of ecological change across systems. Although we are only at an early stage in the projected trends of global warming, ecological responses to recent climate change are already clearly visible.
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Can Plants Adapt? New Questions in Climate Change Research
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As it becomes increasingly apparent that human activities are partly responsible for global warming, the focus of climate change research is shifting from the churning out of assessments to the pursuit of science that can test the robustness of existing models. The questions now being addressed are becoming more challenging:The questions now being addressed are becoming more challenging: Can water-use efficiency of plants keep up with rising temperatures? Will we see a greening period for some decades, even a century, before facing a rapid browndown as threshold temperatures are reached? Or could the thresholds be reached much sooner because of interactions of biophysical processes? Is the carbon storage issue missing the point?
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Another reason for concern: regional and global impacts on ecosystems for different levels of climate change
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Between 1C and 2C increases in global mean temperatures most species, ecosystems and landscapes will be impacted and adaptive capacity will become limited. With the already ongoing high rate of climate change, the decline in biodiversity will therefore accelerate and simultaneously many ecosystem services will become less abundant.
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A long-term association between global temperature and biodiversity, origination and extinction in the fossil record
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We analysed the fossil record for the last 520 Myr against estimates of low latitude sea surface temperature for the same period. We found that global biodiversity (the richness of families and genera) is related to temperature and has been relatively low during warm ‘greenhouse’ phases, while during the same phases extinction and origination rates of taxonomic lineages have been relatively high. These findings are consistent for terrestrial and marine environments and are robust to a number of alternative assumptions and potential biases. Our results provide the first clear evidence that global climate may explain substantial variation in the fossil record in a simple and consistent manner. Our findings may have implications for extinction and biodiversity change under future climate warming.
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Domesticated Nature: Shaping Landscapes and Ecosystems for Human Welfare
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Like all species, humans have exercised their impulse to perpetuate and propagate themselves. In doing so, we have domesticated landscapes and ecosystems in ways that enhance our food supplies, reduce exposure to predators and natural dangers, and promote commerce. On average, the net benefits to humankind of domesticated nature have been positive. We have, of course, made mistakes, causing unforeseen changes in ecosystem attributes, while leaving few, if any, truly wild places on Earth. Going into the future, scientists can help humanity to domesticate nature more wisely by quantifying the tradeoffs among ecosystem services, such as how increasing the provision of one service may decrease ecosystem resilience and the provision of other services.
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A phylogenetic perspective on the distribution of plant diversity
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Phylogenetic studies are revealing that major ecological niches are more conserved through evolutionary history than expected, implying that adaptations to major climate changes have not readily been accomplished in all lineages. Phylogenetic niche conservatism has important consequences for the assembly of both local communities and the regional species pools from which these are drawn. If corridors for movement are available, newly emerging environments will tend to be filled by species that filter in from areas in which the relevant adaptations have already evolved, as opposed to being filled by in situ evolution of these adaptations. Examples include intercontinental disjunctions of tropical plants, the spread of plant lineages around the Northern Hemisphere after the evolution of cold tolerance, and the radiation of northern alpine plants into the Andes. These observations highlight the role of phylogenetic knowledge and historical biogeography in explanations of global biodiversity patterns. They also have implications for the future of biodiversity.
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Adapting to a Changing Climate in the Southeast
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Whether it’s change to native terrestrial habitats or sea level rise and impacts to vital coastal wetlands and marshes, we are only beginning to understand what is happening across the country, what is likely to occur in the years ahead, and how our agency will act. Indeed, of the 128 national wildlife refuges in the Southeast more than half are located along the coast. The number of days per year with peak temperatures over 90F is expected to rise significantly. By the end of this century, projections indicate much of North Carolina will have 90F plus days for one-third of the year, up from less than 30 days in that temperature zone in the 1960s and 1970s. Arkansas will see 90F days for up to 150 days a year, and NorthFlorida for nearly 6 months a year.
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Climate change and the ecologist
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The evidence for rapid climate change now seems overwhelming. Global temperatures are predicted to rise by up to 4 °C by 2100, with associated alterations in precipitation patterns. Assessing the consequences for biodiversity, and how they might be mitigated, is a Grand Challenge in ecology.
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Biodiversity gains from efficient use of private sponsorship for flagship species conservation
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To address the global extinction crisis, both efficient use of existing conservation funding and new sources of funding are vital. Private sponsorship of charismatic ‘flagship’ species conservation represents an important source of new funding, but has been criticized as being inefficient. However, the ancillary benefits of privately sponsored flagship species conservation via actions benefiting other species have not been quantified, nor havethe benefits of incorporating such sponsorship into objective prioritization protocols. Here, we use a comprehensive dataset of conservation actions for the 700 most threatened species in New Zealand to examine the potential biodiversity gains from national private flagship species sponsorship programmes. We find that private funding for flagship species can clearly result in additional species and phylogenetic diversity conserved, via conservation actions shared with other species. When private flagship species funding is incorporated into a prioritization protocol to preferentially sponsor shared actions, expected gains can be more than doubled. However, these gains are consistently smaller than expected gains in a hypothetical scenario where private funding could be optimally allocated among all threatened species. We recommend integrating private sponsorship of flagship species into objective prioritization protocols to sponsor efficient actions that maximize biodiversity gains, or wherever possible, encouraging
private donations for broader biodiversity goals.
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Temporal dynamics of a commensal network of cavity-nesting vertebrates: increased diversity during an insect outbreak
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Network analysis offers insight into the structure and function of ecological
communities, but little is known about how empirical networks change over time during
perturbations. ‘‘Nest webs’’ are commensal networks that link secondary cavity-nesting
vertebrates (e.g., bluebirds, ducks, and squirrels, which depend on tree cavities for nesting)
with the excavators (e.g., woodpeckers) that produce cavities. In central British Columbia,
Canada, Northern Flicker (Colaptes auratus) is considered a keystone excavator, providing
most cavities for secondary cavity-nesters. However, roles of species in the network, and
overall network architecture, are expected to vary with population fluctuations. Many
excavator species increased in abundance in association with a pulse of food (adult and larval
beetles) during an outbreak of mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae), which peaked
in 2003–2004. We studied nest-web dynamics from 1998 to 2011 to determine how network
architecture changed during this resource pulse.Cavity availability increased at the onset of the beetle outbreak and peaked in 2005. During and after the outbreak, secondary cavity-nesters increased their use of cavities made by five species of beetle-eating excavators, and decreased their use of flicker cavities. We found low link turnover, with 74% of links conserved from year to year. Nevertheless, the network
increased in evenness and diversity of interactions, and declined slightly in nestedness and
niche overlap. These patterns remained evident seven years after the beetle outbreak,
suggesting a legacy effect. In contrast to previous snapshot studies of nest webs, our dynamic approach reveals how the role of each cavity producer, and thus quantitative network architecture, can vary over
time. The increase in interaction diversity with the beetle outbreak adds to growing evidence
that insect outbreaks can increase components of biodiversity in forest ecosystems at various
temporal scales. The observed changes in (quantitative) network architecture contrast with the
relatively stable (qualitative) architecture of empirical mutualistic networks that have been
studied to date. However, they are consistent with recent theory on the importance of
population fluctuations in driving network architecture. Our results support the view that
models should allow for the possibility of rewiring (species switching partners) to avoid
overestimation of secondary extinction risk.
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