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Project Climate Simulations for Southeast and Appalachians
by Matthew Cimitile — published Sep 18, 2013 — last modified Oct 15, 2014 04:59 PM — filed under: , ,
A DOI Southeast Climate Science Center funded research project will be evaluating the latest generation of global climate models to generate scenarios of future change to climate, hydrology, and vegetation for the Southeastern U.S. as well as the entire range of the Appalachian LCC.
Located in Research
Kimberly Terrell: Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute
by Web Editor — published Sep 13, 2013 — last modified Feb 17, 2021 06:22 PM — filed under: , ,
Kimberly Terrell describes her work studying the biological constraints of salamanders to adjust to climate change and how the regional nature of the LCC can ensure efficiencies for conservation efforts as well as bring managers and researchers together to work towards common conservation goals.
Located in Our Community / Voices from the Community
Thomas Minney: The Nature Conservancy
by Webeditor — published Sep 13, 2013 — last modified Feb 17, 2021 06:23 PM — filed under: ,
Thomas Minney discusses the potential of the Appalachian LCC, how this organization can address large-scale issues like climate change, and the need to achieve common conservation goals.
Located in Our Community / Voices from the Community
Downscaling Scenarios of Climate Change Project to Map Entire Appalachian LCC Region
by Matthew Cimitile — published Sep 13, 2013 — filed under: , , ,
A DOI Southeast Climate Science Center funded project will be evaluating the latest generation of global climate models to generate scenarios of future change to climate, hydrology, and vegetation for the Southeastern U.S. as well as the entire range of the Appalachian LCC.
Located in News & Events
File Troff document 2013 SN Portfolio (Full Report)
by Matthew Cimitile — published Sep 11, 2013 — last modified Jun 02, 2025 01:11 PM — filed under: , , , , , , , ,
In February 2013, almost 50 experts from a wide range of technical background in both natural and social sciences, as well as geographic expertise across the entire region, volunteered to participate in the annual review of the Appalachian LCC Science Needs Portfolio. 2013 marked the first revision of the Portfolio.
Located in Cooperative / … / 2013 Science Needs Portfolio / PDF Thematic Areas
File Climate Change
by Matthew Cimitile — published Sep 11, 2013 — last modified Sep 11, 2013 09:51 AM — filed under: ,
2013 SN Portfolio: Mission to create an effective adaptation strategy for climate change based on the best available science.
Located in Cooperative / … / 2013 Science Needs Portfolio / PDF Thematic Areas
Virginia’s Climate Modeling and Species Vulnerability Assessment
by National Wildlife Federation — published Sep 10, 2013 — filed under: , ,
The National Wildlife Federation (NWF) is excited to announce the publication of Virginia’s Climate Modeling and Species Vulnerability Assessment: How Climate Data Can Inform Management and Conservation. This report is the culmination of over 4 years of effort by NWF, Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries (DGIF), Conservation Management Institute, and Kutztown University to downscale climate data for Virginia and use that in a species modeling effort to project how a selections of species (wildlife, fish, and plants) may change their distribution across the landscape based on climate change.
Located in News & Events
File ECMAScript program Clark, J.S. et al. Climate change vulnerability of forest biodiversity: climate and competition tracking of demographic rates
by lesley_sneddon — published Sep 09, 2013 — last modified May 14, 2019 07:56 PM — filed under:
Author's Abstract Forest responses to climate change will depend on demographic impacts in the context of competition. Current models used to predict species responses, termed climate envelope models (CEMs), are controversial, because (i) calibration and prediction are based on correlations in space (CIS) between species abundance and climate, rather than responses to climate change over time (COT), and (ii) they omit competition. To determine the relative importance of COT, CIS, and competition for light, we applied a longitudinal analysis of 27 000 individual trees over 6–18 years subjected to experimental and natural variation in risk factors. Sensitivities and climate and resource tracking identify which species are vulnerable to these risk factors and in what ways. Results show that responses to COT differ from those predicted based on CIS. The most important impact is the effect of spring temperature on fecundity, rather than any input variable on growth or survival. Of secondary importance is growing season moisture. Species in the genera Pinus, Ulmus, Magnolia, and Fagus are particularly vulnerable to climate variation. However, the effect of competition on growth and mortality risk exceeds the effects of climate variation in space or time for most species. Because sensitivities to COT and competition are larger than CIS, current models miss the most important effects. By directly comparing sensitivity to climate in time and space, together with competition, the approach identifies which species are sensitive to climate change and why, including the heretofore overlooked impact on fecundity.
Located in LP Members / … / Project Documents / Literature
File Do geographic distribution, niche property and life form explain plants' vulnerability to global change?
by lesley_sneddon — published Sep 09, 2013 — last modified May 14, 2019 07:56 PM — filed under:
Author's abstract: We modelled the future distribution in 2050 of 975 endemic plant species in southern Africa distributed among seven life forms, including new methodological insights improving the accuracy and ecological realism of predictions of global changes studies by: (i) using only endemic species as a way to capture the full realized niche of species, (ii) considering the direct impact of human pressure on landscape and biodiversity jointly with climate, and (iii) taking species' migration into account. Our analysis shows important promises for predicting the impacts of climate change in conjunction with land transformation. We have shown that the endemic flora of Southern Africa on average decreases with 41% in species richness among habitats and with 39% on species distribution range for the most optimistic scenario. We also compared the patterns of species' sensitivity with global change across life forms, using ecological and geographic characteristics of species. We demonstrate here that species and life form vulnerability to global changes can be partly explained according to species' (i) geographical distribution along climatic and biogeographic gradients, like climate anomalies, (ii) niche breadth or (iii) proximity to barrier preventing migration. Our results confirm that the sensitivity of a given species to global environmental changes depends upon its geographical distribution and ecological proprieties, and makes it possible to estimate a priori its potential sensitivity to these changes.
Located in LP Members / … / Project Documents / Literature
Image JPEG image Workshop Approach for Developing Climate Change Adaptation Strategies and Actions for Natural Resource Management Agencies in the United States
by Web Editor — last modified Aug 28, 2013 11:12 AM — filed under: ,
Workshop Approach for Developing Climate Change Adaptation Strategies and Actions for Natural Resource Management Agencies in the United States Image
Located in Resources / General Resources Holdings